U.S.-China Relations: A Temporary Peace, Says Former Diplomat

Washington, June 4: Nisha Desai Biswal, former Assistant Secretary for South and Central Asian Affairs, stated that the United States and China appear to be striving for stability in their relationship. This effort is primarily driven by economic factors, although the underlying causes of tension between the two largest economies remain unchanged.

In a recent interview, Biswal noted that Washington’s current approach towards Beijing focuses on managing tensions and fostering more reliable relations, especially ahead of significant political events later this year.

“I believe the U.S. is currently in a mode where it wants to establish a stable relationship with China. Strong economic reasons are behind this,” she said. Biswal suggested that the potential visit of Chinese President Xi Jinping to the U.S. later this year could be influenced more by immediate economic priorities than by major strategic disagreements.

She added, “I think President Xi’s reciprocal visit this fall, just before the midterm elections, will focus on pressing economic issues, including investment and agricultural trade.”

However, Biswal cautioned against interpreting the current diplomatic discussions as evidence of a significant shift in U.S.-China relations. “The fundamental issues between the U.S. and China have not changed,” she emphasized. She indicated that some contentious issues that have characterized the bilateral relationship might resurface after the U.S. midterm elections.

“I would be surprised if, after the midterms, we don’t see some difficult issues re-emerging as points of contention between us and China,” she remarked.

Regarding China-India relations, Biswal noted that despite ongoing differences, both Asian powers have reasons to seek greater stability. “I believe maintaining stability in that relationship is in the interest of both India and China,” she stated.

According to Biswal, both governments have shown interest in exploring limited opportunities for cooperation and engagement. “We have heard that both sides are considering creating some limited opportunities in economic and investment fronts, such as direct air routes and similar initiatives,” she mentioned.

Biswal warned that expectations for major breakthroughs should remain low, stating, “There are limits to how much common ground India and China can find.”

Biswal served as Assistant Secretary for South and Central Asian Affairs from 2013 to 2017.