
Mumbai, May 17: The upcoming week is crucial for the Indian stock market. Key factors such as the Iran-US tensions, crude oil prices, foreign institutional investor (FII) movements, and domestic economic data will shape market trends.
Investors will closely monitor the ongoing conflict between the US and Iran. Tensions remain high, with Iran planning to implement a new strategy to control shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, the US is also taking an aggressive stance towards Iran.
Crude oil prices are another focal point for investors. Following statements from US President Donald Trump and Iran’s Foreign Minister, oil prices surged by over 3% on Friday. This rise has dampened hopes for a potential agreement to prevent attacks and seizures of vessels near the Hormuz Strait.
During the week, uncertainty surrounding the Iran-US conflict led to a 7.84% increase in Brent crude prices and a 10.48% rise in WTI.
Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) are expected to play a significant role in the Indian stock market. As of May 16, they have sold shares worth ₹27,177 crores this month. In 2026, they have withdrawn ₹2,31,486 crores from the secondary equity market.
Conversely, total investments through the primary market this year have reached ₹12,468 crores. The total sales by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) this year have already surpassed last year’s total withdrawals.
Domestic economic data will also be pivotal in determining market direction. The HSBC PMI data will be released on May 21, followed by figures on bank loans, deposits, and foreign exchange reserves on May 22.
Last week was challenging for the Indian stock market. The Sensex fell by 2,090 points, or 2.70%, closing at 75,237, while the Nifty dropped 532 points, or 2.20%, to end at 23,643.
Among the indices, Nifty Realty was the top gainer, despite a decline of 8.17%. Nifty IT fell by 5.71%, Nifty Consumer Durables by 4.71%, Nifty Auto by 4.36%, Nifty India Defense by 4.16%, Nifty PSU Bank by 4.12%, Nifty Oil & Gas by 3%, and Nifty Media by 2.49%.
On the other hand, Nifty Pharma, Nifty Healthcare, and Nifty Metal closed down by 2.18%, 2.17%, and 1.91%, respectively.
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