Weather Update: No Severe Cold Expected in Madhya Pradesh – Cloudy Skies and Light Rain Possible in Early February
Madhya Pradesh is unlikely to experience severe cold waves in February. According to meteorologists, the state will witness warmer days and cool nights, with occasional cloud cover and light rainfall in the first half of the month. Daytime temperatures may exceed 32°C in several cities, while night temperatures will hover between 10°C and 14°C.
Key Weather Predictions for February
- Cloud Cover in Early February: The first week will see partly cloudy skies, but rainfall is unlikely due to a weak Western Disturbance.
- Light Rain Between February 12-14: Meteorologists indicate that light showers (drizzle) are possible during this period.
- Gradual Rise in Temperatures: By February 20, cold conditions will significantly subside, leading to warmer days and mild nights.
Meteorological Insights
Senior meteorologist Dr. Ved Prakash Singh confirmed the presence of an active Western Disturbance, though its impact is expected to be weak and short-lived (lasting only 2-3 days).
“A significant drop in temperature is unlikely. The system is not strong enough to cause widespread rainfall. By the last week of February, both day and night temperatures will rise further.”
— Dr. Ved Prakash Singh, Senior Meteorologist
10-Year Climate Trends: What February Typically Looks Like in MP
Analyzing the last decade’s weather data, February in Madhya Pradesh generally exhibits:
- Warm days exceeding 30°C in cities like Bhopal, Indore, and Ujjain.
- Cold nights with temperatures dropping to 6-10°C, especially in Gwalior and Jabalpur.
- Intermittent rainfall due to sporadic Western Disturbances.
City-wise February Temperature Predictions:
| City | Expected Max Temperature (°C) | Expected Min Temperature (°C) |
|---|---|---|
| Bhopal | 30-32 | 10-14 |
| Indore | 30-32 | 10-13 |
| Gwalior | 28-30 | 6-10 |
| Jabalpur | 30-32 | 8-12 |
| Ujjain | 30-32 | 10-14 |
How This Winter Season Compared to Previous Years
1. Record-Breaking Cold in November and December
- November 2023: Bhopal recorded its coldest November in 36 years.
- December 2023:
- Experienced more intense cold than January, breaking 58-year-old records in Bhopal.
- 9 consecutive cold-wave days.
- Schools adjusted timings due to extreme cold.
- Van Vihar National Park installed heaters for animals, and temples took measures to protect deities from the cold.
2. January Cold Spells and Weak Western Disturbance
- Two major cold waves occurred in January, though less severe than in previous years.
- Three instances of ‘Mawatha’ (unseasonal rain) were recorded.
- Hailstorms were notably absent, unlike most Januaries.
- Weaker Western Disturbances led to reduced rainfall activity.
What to Expect Next?
- February 1-7: Cloudy skies with mild temperature drops.
- February 12-14: Light showers possible.
- February 20 Onward: Significant warming, reduced winter effect.
Residents of Madhya Pradesh should prepare for a gradual transition from winter to warmer conditions, with no major cold waves expected in the coming weeks.
